Highlights of CMHC's Fall 2011 Housing Market Outlook for the Greater Toronto Area

Market at a Glance


* Resale market activity will hold steady in 2012. Sales will remain close to previous years with a total of 88,500 transactions, while prices will remain fairly flat with annual growth of one per cent.

* New home construction will stay elevated next year at 35,000 units on the strength of condominium apartment construction. New home sales will moderate to 33,500 units in 2012.

* Total employment will see little growth next year amidst a slowing global economy. The unemployment rate will remain above eight per cent and net migration will stay muted at 64,500.

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Pace of Home Sales Remains Brisk in October

Toronto, November 3, 2011 — Greater Toronto REALTORS® reported 7,642 home sales through the TorontoMLS® in October 2011. This represented an increase of 17.5 per cent compared to the 6,504 transactions reported in October 2010.

Monthly sales data follow a recurring seasonal trend that should be removed before comparing monthly results within the same year. After adjusting for seasonality, the annualized rate of sales for October was 97,100, which was above the average of 90,700 for the first three quarters of 2011.

“The pace of October resale home transactions remained brisk in the GTA. This bodes well for a strong finish to 2011,” said Toronto Real Estate Board President Richard Silver. “Home buyers who found it difficult to make a deal in the spring and summer due to a shortage of listings have benefitted from increased supply in the fall.”

The average selling price through the TorontoMLS® in October was $478,137 – up eight per cent compared to October 2010. “Sellers’ market conditions remain in place in many parts of the GTA. The result has been above-average annual rates of price growth for most home types,” said Jason Mercer, the Toronto Real Estate Board’s Senior Manager of Market Analysis. “Thanks to low interest rates, strong price growth has not substantially changed the positive affordability picture in the City of Toronto and surrounding regions.”

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